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About the FedFed Watching IndicatorsFed StatisticsKey Fed Facts

Fed Watching Indicators
Alternative Inflation Meausures
Gold Prices
Employment Cost Index
Civilian Unemployment Rate
Pool of Available Labor
Non Farm Productivity
Treasury Yields
Stock Prices
Humphrey-Hawkins Actions


Pool of Available Labor

Long Term Perspective
Fed chairman Alan Greenspan set the financial markets on edge several years ago when he first commented on the stock market by making an observation on the "irrational exuberance" of investors. While Greenspan and friends don't tend to comment directly on valuation of stock prices too often, they constantly are talking about the ubiquitous "wealth effect," which allegedly caused consumers to spend more than they earned in income in the late 1990s. There is no question that Fed governors and district bank presidents monitor stock prices closely. The Wilshire 5000 is a broad market indicator that incorporates both the impact from the old economy (such as the Dow Jones Industrials) and the new economy (such as the NASDAQ composite.)


Short Term Perspective
The Wilshire 5000 has posted a year-over-year decline in its index for 13 straight months; the November drop is much smaller than previous months, though. The decline in stock prices over the past year certainly played a role in the reduced level of consumer confidence, and decreased demand for goods and services.



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Alternative Inflation Measures   •   Gold Prices   •   Employment Cost Index   •   Civilian Unemployment Rate

Pool of Available Labor   •   Nonfarm Productivity   •   Treasury Yields   •   Stock Prices   •   Fed Monetary Policy Summary

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