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Production and SalesInflationFederal Reserve PolicyInterest RatesStock Prices

Production and Sales






Merchandise Exports vs. Trade Weighted Dollar
Merchandise Imports vs. Trade Weighted Dollar

Housing Starts vs. Mortgage Rates

Long Term Perspective
Income and interest rates are the two key factors that affect housing activity. More housing construction translates into increased demand for furniture and appliances as consumers refurnish their new homes. The rate of housing construction peaked in the first quarter of 1999.


Short Term Perspective
Housing starts remained roughly at the same level from August through October even as mortgage rates dropped. Between the beginning and end of November, mortgage rates jumped, although the monthly average shows only a minor uptick from October.



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Real GDP vs. Final Sales   •   Real Consumer Spending vs. Real Income   •   Debt Burden vs. Savings Rate

Business Fixed Investment vs. Net Cash Flow   •   New Orders   •   Housing Starts vs. Mortgage Rates

Merchandise Exports vs. Trade Weighted Dollar   •   Merchandise Imports vs. Trade Weighted Dollar

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