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Economic Projections for 2000   Governors and Bank Presidents Indicator 1999 Actual Range Central Tendency (Change, 4th quarter to 4th quarter) Nominal GDP 5.9% 5 - 6% 5 1/4 - 5 1/2% Real GDP 4.2% 3 1/4 - 4 1/4% 3 1/2 - 3 3/4% PCE chain-type price index 2.0% 1 1/2 - 2 1/2% 1 3/4 - 2% (Average Level, 4th quarter) Civilian unemployment rate 4.1 4 - 4 1/4% 4 - 4 1/4% Ranges for growth of monetary and debt aggregates Aggregate 1998 1999 2000 M2 1 - 5 1 - 5 1 - 5 M3 2 - 6 2 - 6 2 - 6 Debt 3 - 7 3 - 7 3 - 7 Change from average for 4th quarter of preceding year to average for fourth quarter of year indicated. Alternative Inflation Measures   •   Gold Prices   •   Employment Cost Index   •   Civilian Unemployment Rate Pool of Available Labor   •   Nonfarm Productivity   •   Treasury Yields   •   Stock Prices   •   Humphrey-Hawkins Actions © Econoday, 2000. All Rights Reserved.

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